by Calculated Risk on 9/04/2025 02:55:00 PM
This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the August 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR) of 422 thousand.
Note: “Heavy trucks – trucks more than 14,000 pounds gross vehicle weight.”
Click on graph for larger image.
Heavy truck sales were at 422 thousand SAAR in August, down from 442 thousand in July, and down 15.7% from 501 thousand SAAR in August 2024.
Year-to-date (NSA) sales are down 8.4% through August.
Usually, heavy truck sales decline sharply prior to a recession, and sales have been soft recently.
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