by Calculated Risk on 9/05/2025 03:11:00 PM
From BofA:
[O]ur 3Q GDP tracking has moved up a tenth to 1.6%. Also, our 2Q GDP tracking is down a tenth to 3.2% from the second estiamte of 2Q GDP by the BEA. [September 5th comment]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
We lowered our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +1.6% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). We left our Q3 domestic final sales estimate unchanged at +0.7%. [September 4th estimate]
And from the Atlanta Fed: 
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.0 percent on September 4, unchanged from September 2 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Census Bureau, and the Institute for Supply Management, increases in the nowcasts of real personal consumption expenditures growth and real gross private domestic investment growth from 1.7 percent and 5.3 percent, respectively, to 2.1 percent and 6.0 percent, were more than offset by a decline in the nowcast in the contribution on net exports to GDP growth from 0.69 percentage points to 0.28 percentage points. [September 4th estimate]
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